There are two new polls out in Indiana:
Research 2000 (Apr. 24): Obama 48%, Clinton 47%
Selzer (Apr. 24): Obama 41%, Clinton 38%
The Research 2000 poll is noteworthy as it shows a shift from their last survey in early April, which gave Clinton a three-point lead. Meanwhile, Research 2000's Del Ali thinks Indiana's demographics slightly favor Obama (at least when compared to Pennsylvania):
The closer numbers might muddy the waters a little in terms of who will win, but the state’s demographics might point more to an Obama victory, said Del Ali, of the Rockville, Md.-based Research 2000, which conducted the study.
“The Democratic electorate in Indiana is not heavily made up among white women over the age of 60 like it was in Pennsylvania,” Ali said, referring to a group of voters heavily in Clinton’s corner. [...]Clinton also holds 53 percent of women voters, to Obama’s 45 percent.
Similarly, Obama needs to retain, and even increase, the number of younger voters who will cast their ballots for him May 6, Ali said.
Obama earned support from 66 percent of respondents between 18 and 29 years old in the Tribune poll, to Clinton’s 33 percent.
“If that 18-to-29 grows in percent, he wins,” Ali said.
Next week, we'll have more on how Illinois volunteers are bolstering Obama's grassroots efforts in Northwest Indiana. In the meantime, check out our Indiana primary primer.
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